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Investors’ dilemma: When is the “good time” to invest?
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00643

Investors’ dilemma: When is the “good time” to invest?

An investor using a 433 allocation sees NT$11 million grow to about NT$13 million, then confronts whether to invest another NT$2 million while the market is at a record high.

Published
Feb 3, 2026
Total duration
6:15
Source
CLEC Investment & Wealth

Categories

  • Short

Video Overview

At the start of the year, the investor placed NT$11 million in a 433 allocation. Over the next ten months, the portfolio moved from an unrealized loss of about 20% to a gain of nearly 20% and later reached roughly NT$13 million. He attributes staying invested through the swings to following a trusted system. A new problem appears when another NT$2 million becomes available while the market is at a record high: should it be invested immediately or held until the year-end rebalance? The speaker says to deploy new money according to the existing allocation because future highs and lows cannot be known in advance. The video also separates two triggers: available cash prompts a new contribution, while the calendar prompts rebalancing. Immediate investment is the speaker's case-specific view and does not guarantee a favorable result.

Key Takeaways

  • The NT$11 million portfolio moved from an unrealized loss of about 20% to a gain near 20%, while the investor kept the system unchanged.
  • After the portfolio reached about NT$13 million, a new NT$2 million contribution created fresh anxiety about market timing.
  • The speaker advocates allocating new cash when it arrives, but that method does not ensure gains when markets are high.
  • New contributions and annual rebalancing have different triggers and are treated as separate portfolio tasks.

Chapters

About 00:01:03 · A NT$11 million 433 system

The investor begins a ten-month test of market volatility with a fixed allocation.

About 00:01:39 · From loss to gain

The portfolio rebounds from about a 20% loss to nearly a 20% gain without a change in strategy.

About 00:02:35 · Anxiety over another NT$2 million

A record-high market creates doubt about investing now or waiting for year-end.

About 00:03:39 · The speaker favors immediate allocation

The argument is that future market highs and lows cannot be identified in advance.

About 00:04:07 · Separate contribution and rebalance rules

Cash availability and a fixed schedule are defined as two independent execution signals.

Related Topics

433 asset allocation, Record-high markets, New contributions, Portfolio rebalancing, Market-timing anxiety, Investment discipline, Market volatility

This page was prepared with AI from selected portions of the video's audio to help readers understand the main topics. It may omit secondary material or contain transcription errors; the original video remains authoritative.

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